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With a serious shortage of technology, forums, competitions, exhibitions, and other major stadiums are in full swing, and this session of the World Robot Conference shows the current popularity of robots. In the data and viewpoints summarized in the forum, industry experts expressed their expectation for robot development, and at the same time, they described the problem of insufficient technology.
Since the birth of the robot in 1959, it has achieved great applications in all aspects, especially in the automotive industry. In recent years, it has been well applied in rehabilitation medicine, national defense, space exploration, and natural exploration.
Ding Han, Dean of the School of Mechanical Science and Engineering at Huazhong University of Science and Technology, believes that at present, there is a big gap between the expectations of robots and people in reality. He analyzes that most industrial robots work in some structured environments, and their on-line sensing capabilities are relatively poor. Service robots can currently only perform some simple tasks. Special robots need to perform certain tasks through remote control operations.
Many practitioners compared the current robotics industry to mobile phones more than a decade ago and believe that the current technological development of robotics will be as intelligent as the mobile phone era. However, this view still has some doubts.
Hong Wang, a professor of mechanical aerospace engineering at Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, believes that the robot industry is much more difficult than the mobile phone industry. It involves more comprehensive technologies, not only simple sensing, but also driving the key technology. Today, the mobile phone industry chain is producing results in a short period of time. However, if the eyes of the robot are relatively short, it will not necessarily achieve very good results. "The robot is a large system with driving, sensing, and interaction. It will inevitably take a lot of research and development to spend a lot of time and energy. So in terms of funding, manpower, and space, it's more like a mobile phone and an internet connection." The demand is much higher,†he added.
In fact, how to make robots and humans work together is the current challenge. This includes too many technical problems to overcome. However, the current technological application of artificial intelligence (AI) is still in the laboratory stage, and it is still difficult to judge when the problem of the application can be solved.
It is technically difficult to achieve high standards while also making domestic robots slightly inferior. The Beijing Business Daily reporter learned during the World Robot Conference that many of the domestic key technologies for robots, especially industrial robots, were imported from abroad. At the exhibition site, a reporter from Beijing Commercial Daily also found that although some domestic robotic equipment is made domestically, the ABB (one of the four major families of industrial robots) and other signs are still prominent. The staff of Yaskawa Shougang told the Beijing Commercial Daily reporter that Yaskawa Shougang is a Sino-Japanese joint venture company. The technical aspects of the robot are mostly dominated by Yaskawa Electric (one of the four major families of industrial robots).
The popularity of the application of large-scale exhibition competitions has been more and more frequent in recent years, and market education is an urgent need for the entire industry. However, relative to the ridiculous view of these robots capable of singing and dancing, various industries are more concerned about how to apply their true capabilities in the next step.
Until now, robots have been widely used in the automotive industry. Researching the automotive industry can find that the three characteristics of mass production, standardization, and informationization have led to the rapid application of robots. According to Li Boji, deputy chief engineer of Guangzhou CNC Equipment Co., Ltd., the electronics industry, home appliances industry, furniture industry and building materials industry have already used robots more directly. If the sensor technology, computer technology and communication technology are solved, the demand for robots for all walks of life will even surpass the automotive industry.
However, looking at various application scenarios of the robot industry, it is most difficult to form a demand for service robots that are close to consumer groups. An audience attending the conference told a Beijing Business Daily reporter that the robots all looked very similar, giving people a feeling of clumsyness and not communicating so smoothly. "Feeling that most robots will only perform some simple performances, but simply imitating human movements, it is more interesting to look at them with children. However, some robots have been made to resemble the real people but they have made me somewhat unfit." The audience Bluntly.
Zvi Shiller, chairman of the Israel Robot Association, believes that there is no absolute demand for robots in this market. This is a challenge that the industry needs to deal with. Some people are terrified of robots walking around, and many times robots are unpredictable. These are questions that need to be considered when launching a product.
In fact, this year some robots have entered the role of shopping guides, appear in shopping malls, banks, office space and so on. However, companion robots, educational robots and other products are not easy to sell. An exhibitor company official stated that the product is still in the exhibition stage and has not yet been put into the market.
A key factor in the low level of market penetration is price. Beijing Commercial Daily reporter learned that the prices of these robots are eye-popping, and some simple robotic toys cost thousands of yuan, not to mention security and industrial robots. Beijing Business Daily reporter learned from many corporate staff that the price of commercial robots is still difficult to lower. Falcon UAV, a basic model of inspection drone prices reached 100,000 yuan, Haier subsidiary Krud's security robot prices are also between tens of thousands to tens of thousands of yuan. Fetch robotics staff admitted that at present, the company's warehouse handling robot combination price of 1.4 million yuan, only in China to reach a certain scale of production can expect substantial price reductions.
The market has invested blindly. In recent years, both the state and local governments, as well as the business community and even the financial community, have given great support and input to research on robots, including the emergence of thousands of robotics companies in the past few years. Many cities have robotic industrial parks, and the number of employees in the industry should be growing at an exponential level.
However, the hot scene brought about by this kind of growth has hidden dangers. There is a saying in the industry that “first-class companies are making standards, second-rate companies are making brands, and third-rate companies are making products.†Most companies and entrepreneurs are now rushing to promote product development, but they ignore the standard issue, so let this itself be in its infancy. The stage of the industry is very blind.
A few weeks ago, a robot-related project owned by Google was cancelled due to the failure to achieve high enough standards. This also proves that it is a wrong behavior if the company fails to complete the research and development of the product and then push it to the market. Robots must meet relevant standards as areas of particularly high technical content, but this is not so easy to solve.
Zvi Shiller believes that robots are not the Internet. Sometimes the industry will be spoiled by the Internet revolution. The Internet has made it easier to develop robots. In fact, this is a software system driven by software. Such software is not good to do. You need to work under different conditions and you can't do it in a short time. In addition, the failure rate is very low. If the product's safety and quality are not high, it will lead to casualties, especially in service robots that need to interact with people.
Encouraging companies to generate enthusiasm is not just the prospect of the market, but also the boost of capital. One of the benefits of the initial market is that everyone has the opportunity to become a dark horse and lead the industry. This is why many investors are more willing to support small businesses and entrepreneurial teams. Therefore, the birth of thousands of companies is not sensational.
However, robots need a long time of financial support for research and development to make the technology mature. Many times it takes three or four years. Maybe there will not be too many returns in five years. This is for investors. Not worth it. Many concept products are just products that meet the needs of the joint venture.
On the other hand, some well-known big companies are also investing heavily in robots. In May of this year, Midea Group acquired German robot manufacturer KUKA Group in a voluntary tender offer, which is expected to pay no more than approximately 29.2 billion yuan. The US side stated that the robot will be a new path for the company to expand its business.
“The industry of robots should be an industry with large investment, slow performance, and high risk. It is not just a matter of burning money. Do not look at the robot industry like the Internet industry.†Sun Zheng, Managing Director of Hand Capital, believes that capital is a tool. Like any tool, it can have the negative effect of sprouting, and it can also have a positive effect. Basic research should be based on curiosity as the initial starting point, rather than brainstorming how to commercialize. The investor's job is to see the point of helping the company to commercialize and finding applications in the society, and should not only think of cashing in a few years.
Robot industry is buoyant and prevents "indigestion"
The ongoing WRC 2016 World Robot Conference in Yizhuang, Beijing, added another fire to “robot feverâ€. Excited practitioners, thrilling audiences, and high-profile experts all over the world, the robotics industry appears to be fully bullish on the Chinese market. However, there are serious shortages of technology, difficulties in popularization, high prices, blind investment, and conceptual game spoilers. This sfit-saturated market still suffers from indigestion.